Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 103.840386 115.027423 126.517365 139.173958 152.697711 166.689224 182.232498
2025-04-27 88.074264 104.987253 123.223190 144.229684 167.641558 192.818054 221.822888
2025-05-04 76.366036 97.436571 121.180298 149.623729 182.475075 218.941060 262.188765
2025-05-11 66.175046 90.083547 118.158879 153.002638 194.524976 241.882123 299.423232
2025-05-18 53.726540 78.387062 108.625090 147.526494 195.339224 251.314558 320.900835
2025-05-25 44.972654 70.119243 102.230434 144.914784 198.832987 263.401291 345.246011
2025-06-01 38.767932 64.357464 98.286583 144.734830 204.836750 278.228692 372.805323
2025-06-08 34.249627 60.308855 96.081003 146.365513 212.824418 295.361266 403.230519
2025-06-15 31.753539 58.815261 97.068293 152.027238 225.921931 318.940101 441.866960
2025-06-22 28.590111 55.930282 95.799938 154.398064 234.582615 336.904126 473.638193
2025-06-29 25.295282 52.433753 93.314461 154.805423 240.442577 351.205185 500.839446
2025-07-06 22.691288 49.724344 91.712650 156.234015 247.540184 367.072695 530.125237
2025-07-13 21.071043 48.548061 92.402189 161.056079 259.552581 389.829337 568.991787
2025-07-20 19.268682 46.847012 92.143933 164.435828 269.615754 410.184892 605.089355
2025-07-27 17.926703 45.808976 92.818760 169.149225 281.589012 433.233053 644.992930
2025-08-03 16.388200 44.206370 92.439260 172.187981 291.183069 453.175900 681.035776
2025-08-10 13.388112 39.305716 86.212147 165.900778 287.080277 454.310085 692.017517
2025-08-17 11.317253 35.942419 82.273136 162.888778 287.505625 461.494822 711.019266
2025-08-24 9.894447 33.734944 80.152050 162.600924 291.839627 474.057314 737.327172
2025-08-31 8.893183 32.319190 79.325831 164.321377 299.142577 490.809052 769.458043
2025-09-07 8.519346 32.348092 81.147172 170.434589 313.174772 517.199168 815.017254
2025-09-14 7.763901 31.307693 80.868409 172.989417 321.784825 535.976049 850.289772
2025-09-21 6.859195 29.714356 79.395528 173.423075 327.081675 550.042596 879.163244